A World at Risk: Aggregating Development Trends to Forecast Global Habitat Conversion

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Source:
PLoS ONE
Authors:
James R. Oakleaf
Christina M. Kennedy
Sharon Baruch-Mordo
Paul C. West
James S. Gerber
Larissa Jarvis
Joseph Kiesecker
Date:
7 October 2015

The authors of this article project and aggregate global spatial patterns of expected urban and agricultural expansion, as well as conventional and unconventional oil and gas, coal, solar, wind, biofuels and mining development. Cumulatively, these threats place at risk 20% of the remaining global natural lands and could result in half of the world’s biomes becoming greater than 50% converted while doubling and tripling the extent of land converted in South America and Africa respectively, according to the authors.